5 - 3.5 means the horse was in 5th place 3.5 lengths behind the leader. Now separate the results into 2 categories, sprint distances from 6 to 7 furlongs and route distances from 7.5 furlongs to 1 1/8 miles. The analysis that underpins this piece was carried out in the R statistical environment accessing Raceform Interactive (RI) data for turf handicap races that took place during the 2011, 2012 and 2013 flat seasons in Great Britain. A 6.0 furlong race with the final time of 1:10 2/5 = 100 . Many trainers like to start their young horses in shorter events to evaluate their talent and build stamina. Points of call with margins and fractional times both follow the scale below, which varies with the distance of the race. A route in horse racing is any distance greater than 7 furlongs. Whether the ground is fast or soft also impacts on performance. In modern racing, horses are bigger and stronger, the weight scale much more compressed and weight is not considered to have such an impact. No. There aren’t many races that take place on Firm Going and as a result its black line representation on the graph should be treated with caution. Turf Track is typically on the inside of the race track and most common racing track surfaces in Europe. ( Log Out /  Category                    F Value                   p-value, Trip                              187.626                  2e-16, Going                             91.278                   2e-16, Field Size                      85.227                  2e-16, Race Class                    64.553                   1e-15, Trip*Going                    8.237                   2e-05, Trip*Class                      6.904                  0.000122, Table 3: ANOVA table of contributions to Winning Distance, Winning distances and Subsequent Handicap Changes. You can get free past performances to help with your handicapping and also a nice welcome bonus when you sign up! Horse racing handicapping is easier when you understand what Past Performance Symbols mean. This also applies should only one horse complete the race. There are 3 different types Thoroughbred Horse Racing Track surfaces used today. Horses that do well in route events typically tend to run slow early and faster late. The master of EZ Horse Betting can sometimes locate a profitable angle when he or she spots a horse that is a specialist at a certain distance. Handicap changes per length are lower for races that take place in Soft going. To some, results from a stopwatch indicate when a horse is ready to run, while others prefer to use workout times along with visual impressions to determine preparedness for racing. Here’s how it works: The list of six numbers and symbols are the results for the horses’ most recent races. As a consequence excluding these races, rather than amalgamating with the Soft going category, will improve the balance of the analysis that follows. The effect of the wet weather in 2012 and dry summer in 2013 can be seen in the proportion of races that took place on the Soft and on Good-Firm in each year. Change ), You are commenting using your Google account. Setting between 5f & 6f in the Distance (2LR) category will limit your query to horses whose second last run race was equal to or between 5f and 6f long. Some horses are better suited to short distances while other horses like to run a mile or more. Trip – Sprint (up to 6.5f), Mile (6.5-9.5f), Mid-distance (9.5-12.5f) and Long-distance (12.5f+) Going – Heavy (HY), Soft (S), Good-Soft (GS), Good (G), Good-Firm (GF) and Firm (F) Field Size – Tiny (fewer than 4 runners), Small (5 to 12 runners) and Large (more than 12 runners) Starting stalls are not used for National Hunt (jumps) racing. Race distances The differing distances of races present another little problem, apart from that dealt with by the standards. line can consist of many different races, especially if the horse is older and has run many races. To learn more about the "furlong", watch our short terminology video "Furlong" Length Measuring Converter : Try this handy fun length converter and experiment with furlongs to meters and more! Full Siblings On The Racecourse – Deja Vu All Over Again? OLIVERS MOUNT wears the number 8 saddlecloth. Charts. Pace is far more important in route races than it is in sprints. Route Distances in Horse Racing. Daily Racing Form - Thoroughbred horse racing past performances, results, and entries with morning line odds from all major North American racetracks 24 to 72 hours prior to raceday. To bet these races effectively, look for races which have a lone runner with early speed. Other tracks and race distances are measured in meters and and kilometers. Whilst it is obvious that trip will affect winning distances, what of going, field size and race class? Don’t worry; this class will break down all of the components of the charts used in the major horse racing publications. In 2012 this decreased slightly to 262 races. Chart, two different values for the length of the horse are used! To only include 7f races you would set the parameters as between 7f & 7f. Horse The horse's racing name.. BF If a horse was a Beaten Favourite last time … Category              F Value                 p-value, Trip                          106.119                < 2e-16, Going                         27.191               1.90e-07, Race Class               45.673               1.52e-11, Field Size                  42.151               9.10e-11, Table 4: Contributors to Winning Distances. For High Class longer distance races the median winning distance is lower than for mid distance races. Synthetic (Polytrack) is a man-made surface that is only available at a certain of locations. In 2013 there was a substantial increase to 475 races. Graph 4: Winning distance and handicap changes. There are a myriad of uses for the Fractional Charting and in general, any horse charting within one second (five lengths) of the chart-topper should be considered capable of winning. Look for this situation when considering a bet: A horse that meets these conditions can sometimes be offered up at nice odds. Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. If your horse finished 5 lenghts behind the winner; Go to the Beaten Lenghts chart, look in the Margin coloumn, find 5.00 lengths in that … The number of points subtracted or added varies according to the distance of the race and is based on a speed index chart distributed annually by AQHA. Ground classifications used were those applied by RI rather than the official going. Drw OLIVERS MOUNT is drawn to run from starting stall 10. This is counter intuitive. 0.5lb less than on quicker Going. Have you ever wondered how … Dirt Track. 5.5 Furlongs = 11/16 mile. If the handicapper has done his job, there should be no difference in the average PctBtn variable by race category. If the handicapper takes sufficient account of race categories it should be the case that horses run equally well in their next race. In addition we can identify interaction (non-linear) effects, such as that between winning distance and Going. How do you figure fractional times with different distances? The distance that horses finish relative to each other in horse racing is an important consideration in deciding what rating to apply to each horse post-race by public and private handicappers. 6 Furlongs = 3/4 mile. Toggle Navigation Kyle Kazak. ( Log Out /  In addition two interaction variables are included – Trip with Going and Trip with Race Class. With winning distances lower in High Class races, it appears as if the handicapper applies a standard handicap increase to the rating of winners regardless of Race Class. To make a profit, a bettor must have more winners than losers, and that makes handicapping horses for a living a lot like playing the stock market. So when a handicapper looks up the Pound Value of One Length for a beaten horse, he is using a formula containing 9-feet, but when he subtracts 0.2 seconds for every length, he is using a formula containing 11-feet and I am of the opinion that both are wrong!." 4 Furlongs = 1/2 mile. So for with winning distances of 2 lengths, median handicap changes in Soft going are ca. Check our Bovada racebook review, Twinspires review or even our Betamerica review. Handicap changes per length are higher for High Class races. In the next section we examine if sufficient account is taken of the different race categories. It is so much more fun than sitting at a noisy table watching a little ball and a wheel steal your money. If a horse has never gone longer than six furlongs in its career, it may struggle when running a mile today. The number of races that took place in each category is given in Table 1 below. Race Lengths. Form The horse's last four race finishing positions.. Distances under a length are recorded as follows: Nose = 0.05 of a length, Short head = 0.1 of a length, head = 0.2 of a length, neck = 0.3 of a length, half a length = 0.5 of a length, three-quarters of a length = 0.75 of a length. Change ), You are commenting using your Facebook account. Sometimes the investment pays off, and sometimes it does not. I just have one question if you don’t mind. It is a small step to suggest that placed horses from large Field Size races are worthy of particular attention next time out. 1 - 3.5 means the horse is on the lead and is 3.5 lengths ahead of the second place horse. It also computes the AVERAGE speed of the race in both miles per hour and kilometers per hour if you correctly enter the length of the race, and if the official time of the race is entered. However, it must be pointed out that in some instances, not only with the Randwick and Sandown tracks, but with others as well, some of the par times are based on minimal data, particularly when it comes to wet track conditions. All great choice if you are in the US. It is far more common to see races in the one mile to 1 1/16 mile range. The distance of the race is important. Category                   F Value                   p-value, Trip                             0.442                       0.7230, Race Class                0.098                       0.7545, Field Size                  4.821                        0.0282, Going                        0.668                        0.4137, Table 5: Contributors to Winning Distances. Speed is far more important in sprint contests than it is in route events. This means that they can lead the race from beginning to end. Graph 6: Pounds per Length and Race Class. In 2011 there were 287 races on GF with small Field Sizes. The exception to this would be for the leader (see below). In betting these races, look for trainers like Wesley Ward who do exceptionally well with two-year-old first time starters. The results for Field Size are statistically significant. What makes time, as it relates to racehorses, so subjective is that time only measures how fast the horse is running, not the manner in which he is traveling. The “Shortcut” Method . There is also a non-linear relationship between winning distance and Going as Trip increases in distance. HORSE RACING RATINGS EXPLAINED. It appears as if the handicapper does not raise the handicap mark of winners of large Field Size races by enough, since they beat a higher proportion of their rivals next time out than winners of races in other categories. Winning distance is defined as the distance between the winner of a race and the horse coming third. To what extent do these factors make a contribution, and does the official handicapper take these factors into account in handicapping horses post-race? The information presented above shows that winning distances are affected by Trip, Going, Field Size and Race Class. Kyle Kazak has provided a horse racing Furlong Distance Calculator that shows you how furlongs convert into miles, feet, yards and meters. Choosing between 5f & 1 mile means your system returns only races with a race distance equal to or between 5f and 1 mile. In addition to the obvious effect of Trip and Going on winning distances, Field Sizes and Race Class are also significant contributors. 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